SITUATION
Let the discrete random variable X denote the number of times an event occurs in an interval of time (or space). Then X may be a Poisson random variable with x = 0, 1, 2, ...
EXAMPLES
SOLUTION
USING EXCEL FUNCTION, POISSON.DIST, WE GET 0.168 or 16.8% PROBABILITY THAT 4 CUSTOMERS ARRIVE EVERY MINUTE
Let the discrete random variable X denote the number of times an event occurs in an interval of time (or space). Then X may be a Poisson random variable with x = 0, 1, 2, ...
EXAMPLES
- Let X equal the number of typos on a printed page. (This is an example of an interval of space — the space being the printed page.)
- Let X equal the number of cars passing through the intersection of Allen Street and College Avenue in one minute. (This is an example of an interval of time — the time being one minute.)
- Let X equal the number of Alaskan salmon caught in a squid driftnet. (This is again an example of an interval of space — the space being the squid driftnet.)
- Let X equal the number of customers at an ATM in 10-minute intervals
- Let X equal the number of students arriving during office hours
A Poisson distribution is the probability distribution that results from a Poisson experiment.
ATTRIBUTES OF POISSON EXPERIMENT
Explained with following example: Suppose we know the average number of houses sold by XYZ as 2 per day. What is the probability that exactly 3 homes will be sold tomorrow?
NOTE: The specified region could take many forms like length, area, volume, time, etc.
ATTRIBUTES OF POISSON EXPERIMENT
Explained with following example: Suppose we know the average number of houses sold by XYZ as 2 per day. What is the probability that exactly 3 homes will be sold tomorrow?
- The experiment results in either successes or failures
- Sell 3 houses or not
- The average number of successes (μ) in a given region is known
- We know of 2 houses sold per day
- The probability that a success will occur is proportional to the size of the region
- The probability that a success will occur in an extremely small region is virtually zero.
NOTE: The specified region could take many forms like length, area, volume, time, etc.
SOLUTION
USING EXCEL FUNCTION, POISSON.DIST, WE GET 0.168 or 16.8% PROBABILITY THAT 4 CUSTOMERS ARRIVE EVERY MINUTE
PROBABILITY THAT MORE THAN 3 CUSTOMERS ARRIVE IS SHOWN BELOW:
REFERENCES
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